Italy is signaling its willingness to support President Donald Trump's suggestion that the Vatican could act as a mediator in peace talks aimed at resolving the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. In a statement from Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's office, the Italian government has expressed readiness to facilitate contacts and foster a dialogue towards peace. The strong support for this diplomatic effort comes in the wake of a meeting earlier this week between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Pope Leo at the Vatican.

Despite this goodwill, no concrete plans for a ceasefire negotiation have been established, with last Friday’s discussions between Russian and Ukrainian representatives in Istanbul highlighting additional demands from the Kremlin rather than leading to meaningful progress. Pope Leo has indicated the Vatican's openness to hosting talks, stating the Holy See's commitment to uniting warring parties and championing peace.

Whether the Vatican can transform this hope into a tangible plan remains uncertain. Reports suggest that Ukraine is amenable to the idea of the Vatican as a neutral host, with President Zelensky having met with Meloni to discuss various possibilities. Though Turkey and Switzerland have been mentioned as potential venues as well, the Kremlin appears to favor continuing the talks in Turkey under the framework of the "Istanbul Plus" strategy.

This proposed framework, however, raises concerns in Kyiv, as it would involve drastic military reductions and acknowledgment of Russia's claimed annexation of occupied regions, terms that would be viewed as capitulation by Ukraine. The effectiveness of any discussions is further complicated by Russia's insistence on negotiating from a position of strength, foregoing meaningful compromises.

The Vatican's historic role in conflict mediation might lend some moral weight to the peace push, as it has previously facilitated various humanitarian negotiations. However, skeptics question the Vatican's impact, particularly given both Trump's aggressive rhetoric and Pope Francis's past comments, which have at times alienated Ukraine. In contrast, Pope Leo has openly condemned the invasion as an imperialistic act, which may align more closely with Ukraine's stance.

Still, experts highlight that Russia's current posture indicates an unwillingness to concede, seeing engagement with the Vatican as simply a means to reiterate its stance without altering its strategic objectives. As discussions continue, the prospects for achieving peace remain uncertain, with deeper dynamics at play than the choice of mediator or venue. While many hope for progress, the complexities and entrenched positions of both sides suggest a long, challenging road ahead before any meaningful resolution is reached.