PARIS (AP) — Political instability looms in France as Prime Minister François Bayrou braces for a parliamentary confidence vote that could see him ousted after only nine months in office. Bayrou, 74, appointed by President Emmanuel Macron, is navigating through a divided National Assembly where opposition lawmakers are poised to challenge his government amidst calls for significant budget cuts.
Bayrou has argued that urgent fiscal measures are required to address the country’s spiraling deficit, which currently exceeds the EU's 3% target at 5.8% of GDP. However, his efforts to unify lawmakers behind his proposed €44 billion spending cuts in 2026 have been met with fierce opposition. Critics argue that the proposed cuts, including the removal of public holidays, would further strain the already struggling populace.
The National Assembly, comprising 577 lawmakers, has been called back from recess for this crucial vote, anticipated to take place late Monday afternoon. Bayrou needs a majority approval to remain in his position; otherwise, he faces the responsibility of resigning, which would plunge the government into turmoil.
A Divided Assembly
As the political scene unfolds, the landscape is marked by a coalition of far-right and left-wing lawmakers who collectively hold over 320 seats. In contrast, Bayrou's centrist and conservative allies amount to only 210 seats, making it seem improbable for him to secure the necessary support.
In an interview, Bayrou expressed frustration at the apparent collusion between political adversaries from opposing ends of the spectrum, questioning the rationale behind their alliance. “What’s the point of bringing down the government?” he remarked, emphasizing the failure of these rival groups to find common ground.
Challenges Ahead for Macron
If Bayrou is ousted, President Macron will once again face the challenge of appointing a new prime minister in a politically fragmented environment. This cycle of instability has hindered the president’s domestic agenda and raised concerns about governance until the end of his current term in 2027.
Through this crisis, Macron aims to maintain control of his administration amid spiraling public debt and budget constraints, but with each passing political upheaval, the challenges of effective governance seem to multiply.