The opposition's strategy capitalizes on a rift within Netanyahu’s coalition, particularly between ultra-Orthodox partners and the rest of the government, regarding military service laws. With tensions rising following the conflict initiated by the Hamas-led attack in October 2023, the dissension over drafting seminary students could pivot the political landscape. United Torah Judaism and Shas, holding 18 seats combined, are in a pivotal position, threatening to join the opposition if their demands are not met. Should the motion pass, it would set off a lengthy parliamentary process that allows Netanyahu time to regroup, but mustering support against a backdrop of growing public dissatisfaction will be no easy feat.

The implications of such a vote could reshape Israel's political future, as analysts warn it would signal a significant loss of control for Netanyahu. Consequently, opposition parties have seen newfound momentum and plan to use this to push for early elections, which could take place as late as October 2026 if the current government fulfills its term. This moment not only highlights the fragility of Israel's political alliances but also raises questions about Netanyahu's future as he faces the mounting challenges of leadership amid societal unrest and conflict.