Ethiopian authorities have recently reported the seizure of more than 56,000 rounds of ammunition intended for the Fano, a violent armed rebel group. This shipment is claimed to have originated from Eritrea, raising significant alarms about a potential resurgence of armed conflict in the troubled Horn of Africa region.
Eritrea's Information Minister has vehemently denied these allegations, asserting that Ethiopia's government is fabricating excuses to justify its own militaristic ambitions following a two-year period of escalating tensions. The historical complexities between these neighboring countries only amplify the current crisis, each side bearing the scars of past conflicts.
The announcement of the seized ammunition comes at a time when diplomatic relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea have deteriorated further, shifting away from a cautious optimism that followed the civil war in northern Ethiopia from 2020 to 2022.
Experts note that the fragility of peace achieved during that tumultuous period could unravel, particularly as Ethiopia continues to grapple with instability in its northern Amhara region, where the Fano rebels are now a significant force.
Additionally, regional security is becoming increasingly precarious, with both nations engaging in a war of words over the critical issue of Red Sea access, an existential concern for landlocked Ethiopia. Abiy's declarations regarding sea access have been vehemently dismissed by Eritrea, further entrenching the tensions.
In a stark warning, Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki accused the Ethiopian government of calling for conflict, asserting that while Eritrea desires peace, it is prepared to defend itself against any aggression.
While Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has called for resolution through dialogue, the pattern of escalation leaves many observers concerned about the possibilities of a renewed and devastating confrontation.
