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Brazil's Political Landscape Shifted by Trump's Tariff Threats

A surprising boost for President Lula da Silva amidst international tensions with the U.S.

By Ana IonovaSource: nytimes.com1 min read
Brazil's Political Landscape Shifted by Trump's Tariff Threats
Image via nytimes.com

In brief

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's approval ratings soar as he confronts President Trump's recent tariff threats, reshaping Brazil's political landscape ahead of the upcoming election.

In a twist that mirrors familiar political tensions seen in the United States, Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is experiencing a surge in popularity, triggered by a recent tariff threat from former President Donald Trump. As the Brazilian election looms, Lula appears to have turned political adversity into an advantage by taking a stand against what he characterizes as bullying from the U.S.Trump's announcement of potential tariffs of up to 50 percent on Brazilian exports—aimed largely at supporting his ally, former president Jair Bolsonaro—has backfired, giving Lula a newfound platform and momentum. In recent weeks, Lula’s approval ratings have jumped significantly, with recent polls indicating that between 43 to 50 percent of Brazilians now approve of his performance, reflecting an increase of three to five percentage points since May.Political analyst Camila Rocha from the Brazilian Center for Analysis and Planning notes, “It was a stroke of luck for the president. This strengthens him a lot,” highlighting how Lula's ability to confront Trump has resonated with constituents and invigorated his base just as he approaches his 80th birthday.This shift can be attributed to the phenomenon known as the "anti-Trump bump," which has been evident in various countries as leaders who stand against Trump often find themselves experiencing a rise in public support. As Lula prepares for his bid for a fourth term, the freshly rekindled optimism among his supporters could be a decisive factor in shaping the election's outcome.

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