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Brexit and Trump: Diverging Tales of Populism

An analysis of how the trajectories of Brexit and Trump's political maneuvers reflect different populist outcomes.

By David RuncimanSource: nytimes.com1 min read

In brief

While Brexit initially seemed intertwined with Trump's populist rise, the two have diverged significantly over time, offering contrasting lessons on political movements and their consequences.

In an unexpected twist, the years following Donald Trump's ascension to the White House and the Brexit vote revealed a stark divergence between these populist movements. Once considered intertwined phenomena, Brexit and Trump are now unfolding as distinct narratives, each carrying its own cautionary lessons. In August 2016, Trump’s tweet declaring potential kinship with Brexit was surprising, especially considering his earlier unfamiliarity with the term. However, after the British people voted to leave the European Union that summer, the act galvanized Trump’s political ambitions, showcasing his instinct for aligning with popular sentiment despite his lack of deep understanding of the issue.As years passed, the initial year of political upheaval, marked by the simultaneous rise of Brexit and Trump, offered hope for a radical political shift. But now it seems that while Brexit aimed to restore Britain’s sovereignty and influence, it has instead led to a reabsorption into traditional political frameworks. British politicians, rather than embracing the revolutionary potential of Brexit, have engaged in conventional politics, leading to a situation where revolutionary support has dwindled, and political structures remain largely intact.Conversely, Trump’s journey has seen him push against institutional barriers while aiming to dismantle the political status quo. His latest return to political prominence suggests a more chaotic approach, one where established alliances and practices might fall away without a clear alternative in place. With Trump seemingly lacking a definitive plan for a post-chaos landscape, his strategy risks leading to disarray, which may contrast sharply with the conventional political responses seen in Britain.Ultimately, as these movements unfold, they reveal sobering lessons for both regions, showcasing the unpredictability of populist ideals and highlighting the very different paths that have emerged from their shared beginnings.

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